《自然》(20240321出版)一周论文导读
Abstract:Floods are one of the most common natural disasters, with a disproportionate impact in developing countries that often lack dense streamflow gauge networks. Accurate and timely warnings are critical for mitigating flood risks, but hydrological simulation models typically must be calibrated to long data records in each watershed. Here we show that artificial intelligence-based forecasting achieves reliability in predicting extreme riverine events in ungauged watersheds at up to a five-day lead time that is similar to or better than the reliability of nowcasts from a current state-of-the-art global modelling system . In addition, we achieve accuracies over five-year return period events that are similar to or better than current accuracies over one-year return period events. This means that artificial intelligence can provide flood warnings earlier and over larger and more impactful events in ungauged basins. The model developed here was incorporated into an operational early warning system that produces publicly available forecasts in real time in over 80 countries. This work highlights a need for increasing the availability of hydrological data to continue to improve global access to reliable flood warnings.
因禁止学校教授LGBT,匈牙利被欧盟孤立:不尊重LGBT,就离开欧盟
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文质彬彬·每日好词语|比而不党
I hear that one who serves a sovereign ruler must form ties with others based on a just cause and not on selfish interests. To recommend upright men out of loyalty to the country is forming ties for a just cause;
单兵作战携具的变革:MOLLE的前生和今世
90年代后期,美国陆军设计出了一套极为成功的装具模块化系统。PALs最早使用在MOLLE系统上,有使用方便,挂载牢固等优点。
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